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Olivia Nelson-Ododa

Connecticut Sun · C · 2026 stats, contract & trade value

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Talent score
48
#58 in the W
Trade value
42
#70 in the W
discounted while out — healthy ≈ 47
Contract surplus
-4.8
talent vs. salary expectation
Position
C
Talent & trade value 20–9966+ star40–65 rotationunder 40 fringe

Over her deal through 2027, Nelson-Ododa is producing 4.8 pts below what her salary should buy — contract surplus averages every remaining year, with future seasons projected on the league aging curve and discounted.

Olivia Nelson-Ododa headshot

Olivia Nelson-Ododa

48
Connecticut Sun · C · age 26
Value & contract
Talent
48
Rotation
Trade value
42
Replacement
Surplus
-4.8
Fair value
Talent trend48– flat
954320
LG AVG
Last 30 daysToday
Contract2 yrs · $1.44M gtd
2026$735KGTD
2027$700KGTD
GuaranteedNon-guaranteedTeam option

Box scoreper game · 32 GP
PoorGreatpercentile vs qualified
Points
63
10.0
Assists
50
1.6
Rebounds
85
5.9
Usage
65
20.6 %
Efficiency
84
61 % TS
On-court impactwRAPM · 1,388 poss · 2026-08-30
PoorGreatpercentile vs qualified
Offense
9
−2.4
Defense
53
−0.4

wRAPM — her effect on team net scoring per 100 possessions, adjusted for teammates and opponents.

Stands out for rebounding and efficiency; offense is the soft spot. Reads as a Rotation-level talent.
Talent outlook
2026
48 talent
2027
48 proj
4354
2028 · FA
48 proj
4256

Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error. Years marked FA are past her current deal — projection only.

Career stats
SeasonTeamGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTOVFG%3P%FT%
2022LAS3014.54.03.00.40.30.81.056.0%0.0%70.3%
2023CON3915.04.53.70.60.50.80.853.7%0.0%70.8%
2024CON3711.83.42.50.20.40.60.849.5%0.0%65.9%
2025CON3721.68.25.00.90.71.21.152.6%50.0%70.3%
2026CONN3221.410.05.91.60.80.81.656.9%0.0%67.5%
Projected · 2027–2028
SeasonTalentPPGRPGAPG
2027489.25.41.5
2028489.25.41.5

Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →

Best team fits

Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.

Portland Fire16-24 · thinnest in rebounding / size + playmaking / ball-handling · 1.9M space
build this trade · fit score 44
Washington Mystics24-16 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + scoring · 1.4M space
build this trade · fit score 33

What would it take?

A fair package each interested team would have to send for Olivia Nelson-Ododa — assembled and priced by the same engine that grades trades, most valuable pieces first until the outgoing value matches hers. The percentage is what that package is worth on the trade-value scale: 100% is an even match for Olivia Nelson-Ododa, above 100% a slight overpay to get there. Open one in the machine to tweak it.

Portland Fire sendscap-legal · 105% of Nelson-Ododa’s value
Bridget Carleton
open this trade in the machine →
Washington Mystics sendscap-legal · 107% of Nelson-Ododa’s value
Lauren Betts
open this trade in the machine →

A starting point, not a prediction — each package is the fewest fair pieces by model value, and a real deal would flex around roster fit and both front offices. “Needs a filler” means the salaries don't yet fit under the cap without another piece.

Connecticut Sun teammates

Aging comps

The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.

  • Camille Smith · 2010 · age 26
  • Isabelle Harrison · 2019 · age 26
  • Azura Stevens · 2021 · age 26

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