WNBAGM

Ariel Atkins

Los Angeles Sparks · 3&D wing · 2026 stats, contract & trade value

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Talent score
42
#74 in the W
Trade value
33
#96 in the W
Contract surplus
-25.3
talent vs. salary expectation
Position group
wings
3&D wing
Talent & trade value 20–9966+ star40–65 rotationunder 40 fringe

Over her deal through 2028, Atkins is producing 25.3 pts below what her salary should buy — contract surplus averages every remaining year, with future seasons projected on the league aging curve and discounted.

AA

Ariel Atkins

42
Los Angeles Sparks · 3&D wing · age 29
Salary: $1085KYears left: 3
Contract outlook
2026
$1085K
42 talent
2027
$1139K
40 proj
3447
2028
$1193K
38 proj
3146

Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error.

Career stats
SeasonTeamGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTOVFG%3P%FT%
2018WAS2922.511.32.42.11.30.31.343.2%35.7%82.4%
2019WAS3324.410.32.81.91.50.51.041.6%35.7%81.1%
2020WAS2231.014.82.92.41.80.31.943.8%41.1%88.6%
2021WAS3030.616.22.82.61.60.52.040.7%35.9%83.1%
2022WAS3630.014.63.22.31.30.21.442.0%36.5%84.5%
2023WAS2725.211.53.12.31.20.31.341.4%33.9%89.7%
2024WAS4029.914.93.43.11.50.42.343.7%35.7%84.8%
2025CHI3428.513.13.43.61.60.72.544.4%36.1%86.0%
2026LA2427.39.22.92.61.60.41.836.7%27.5%97.1%
Projected · 2027–2028
SeasonTalentPPGRPGAPG
20274010.13.02.9
2028389.42.92.9

Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →

Best team fits

Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.

Las Vegas Aces18-8 · thinnest in perimeter defense + rebounding / size
build this trade (54% fit)
Chicago Sky9-18 · thinnest in scoring + perimeter defense
build this trade (54% fit)
Toronto Tempo10-16 · thinnest in rebounding / size + perimeter defense
build this trade (54% fit)

Los Angeles Sparks teammates

Aging comps

The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.

  • Jia Perkins · 2010 · age 29
  • Tan White · 2010 · age 28
  • Epiphanny Prince · 2017 · age 30

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