WNBAGM

Holly Winterburn

Portland Fire · G · 2026 stats, contract & trade value

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Talent score
20
#189 in the W
Trade value
20
#189 in the W
Contract surplus
+0.0
talent vs. salary expectation
Position
G
Talent & trade value 20–9966+ star40–65 rotationunder 40 fringe

In 2026, Winterburn is outproducing her contract by 0.0 pts of talent. She's a free agent after this season, so the figure reflects her 2026 salary alone.

Holly Winterburn headshot

Holly Winterburn

20
Portland Fire · G · age 25
Value & contract
Talent
20
Replacement
Trade value
20
Replacement
Surplus
0
Fair value
Talent trend20– flat
954320
LG AVG
Last 30 daysToday
Contract1 yr · $0K gtd
2026$241KNON-GTD
GuaranteedNon-guaranteedTeam option

Box scoreper game · 27 GP

Below the >70%-of-team-games qualified cutoff — percentiles are indicative, still ranked against the qualified pool.

PoorGreatpercentile vs qualified
Points
10
3.3
Assists
57
1.8
Rebounds
11
1.3
Usage
59
19.2 %
Efficiency
9
48 % TS
A balanced profile without a standout skill; efficiency is the soft spot. Reads as a Replacement-level talent.
Talent outlook
2026
20 talent
2027 · FA
22 proj
2029
2028 · FA
22 proj
2028

Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error. Years marked FA are past her current deal — projection only.

Career stats
SeasonTeamGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTOVFG%3P%FT%
2026POR2710.33.31.31.80.50.00.939.8%16.3%86.7%
Projected · 2027–2028
SeasonTalentPPGRPGAPG
2027223.71.51.7
2028223.71.41.7

Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →

Best team fits

Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.

New York Liberty24-16 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + perimeter defense · 0.5M space
build this trade · fit score 18
Los Angeles Sparks15-25 · thinnest in playmaking / ball-handling + perimeter defense · 0.5M space
build this trade · fit score 17
Atlanta Dream26-14 · thinnest in scoring + playmaking / ball-handling · 0.4M space
build this trade · fit score 17

What would it take?

A fair package each interested team would have to send for Holly Winterburn — assembled and priced by the same engine that grades trades, most valuable pieces first until the outgoing value matches hers. The percentage is what that package is worth on the trade-value scale: 100% is an even match for Holly Winterburn, above 100% a slight overpay to get there. Open one in the machine to tweak it.

New York Liberty sendscap-legal · 110% of Winterburn’s value
Marine Fauthoux
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Los Angeles Sparks sendscap-legal · 120% of Winterburn’s value
Chance Gray
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Atlanta Dream sendscap-legal · 110% of Winterburn’s value
Te-Hina Paopao
open this trade in the machine →

A starting point, not a prediction — each package is the fewest fair pieces by model value, and a real deal would flex around roster fit and both front offices. “Needs a filler” means the salaries don't yet fit under the cap without another piece.

Portland Fire teammates

Aging comps

The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.

  • Grace Berger · 2023 · age 25
  • Alexis Jones · 2019 · age 26
  • Kristin Haynie · 2006 · age 24

Durability context: 48% of her 40 nearest comps had no qualified season two years on — projection ranges assume she's still playing.

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