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Karlie Samuelson

Portland Fire · bench scoring · 2026 stats, contract & trade value

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Talent score
25
#145 in the W
Trade value
24
#142 in the W
Contract surplus
-3.2
talent vs. salary expectation
Position group
guards
bench scoring
Talent & trade value 20–9966+ star40–65 rotationunder 40 fringe

In 2026, Samuelson is producing 3.2 pts below what her salary should buy. She's a free agent after this season, so the figure reflects her 2026 salary alone.

KS

Karlie Samuelson

25
Portland Fire · bench scoring · age 30
Salary: $360KYears left: 1
Contract outlook
2026
$360K
25 talent
2027
FA
25 proj
2032
2028
FA
25 proj
2034

Projected per stat on the fitted league aging curves (scoring fades, rebounding holds, minutes drive late decline) — 4,700 player-seasons, 1997–2025. Ranges are 10th–90th percentile from held-out backtest error. Years marked FA are past her current deal — projection only.

Career stats
SeasonTeamGPMPGPPGRPGAPGSPGBPGTOVFG%3P%FT%
2018LAS204.20.90.50.30.10.20.138.9%31.3%0.0%
2019DAL, LAS712.01.30.60.70.40.10.021.4%25.0%0.0%
2021LAS, SEA1414.73.61.90.80.50.00.636.4%38.7%77.8%
2022PHO110.23.03.01.00.00.01.033.3%33.3%0.0%
2023LAS3426.17.73.02.00.60.10.946.3%42.6%94.1%
2024WAS2924.58.42.62.10.90.00.940.9%39.8%92.3%
2025MIN1614.23.31.31.10.40.10.733.3%35.3%92.9%
2026POR1413.73.61.10.80.40.20.438.5%31.4%90.9%
Projected · 2027–2028
SeasonTalentPPGRPGAPG
2027253.61.31.0
2028253.11.20.9

Future-year talent figures above are projections on the league aging curve (fit from 4,692 player-seasons, 1997–2025), not measurements — they fade in the display because they should.How the projections work →

Best team fits

Her attribute profile scored against each team's current roster deficits — where she'd fill the biggest hole, not just where she'd be fun.

Toronto Tempo10-16 · thinnest in rebounding / size + perimeter defense
build this trade (19% fit)
Chicago Sky9-18 · thinnest in scoring + perimeter defense
build this trade (19% fit)
Las Vegas Aces18-8 · thinnest in perimeter defense + rebounding / size
build this trade (19% fit)

Portland Fire teammates

Aging comps

The closest player-seasons in league history (1997–2025) to her current age, per-36 profile, and role — the careers her projection walks alongside.

  • Jenna O'Hea · 2016 · age 30
  • Shanele Stires · 2001 · age 30
  • Bridget Pettis · 1999 · age 29

Durability context: 55% of her 40 nearest comps had no qualified season two years on — projection ranges assume she's still playing.

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